Afghanistan and Iraq--$2 Trillion Dollar Graveyards of Armies
Issue Date
2011-12-31Author
Petrov, Vladimir
Publisher
University of Kansas
Format
59 pages
Type
Thesis
Degree Level
M.A.
Discipline
Political Science
Rights
This item is protected by copyright and unless otherwise specified the copyright of this thesis/dissertation is held by the author.
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
This thesis explores the projection of violent direct action in the case of Iraq and Afghanistan since 2007 through May 2011. Machine-coded events data from the free, publicly available, on-line Reuters archives was fitted to both regressor and time series models to test the hypothesis of self-feeding, vicious cycle of violence that grapples both of these countries up through 2011, even as US troops are moving out. The models offering the best statistical fit were used to generate forecasts for the number of expected hostile attacks in June 2011.
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- Political Science Dissertations and Theses [134]
- Theses [3901]
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