Tail-dependent spatial synchrony arises from nonlinear driver–response relationships
dc.contributor.author | Walter, Jonathan A. | |
dc.contributor.author | Castorani, Max C. N. | |
dc.contributor.author | Bell, Tom W. | |
dc.contributor.author | Sheppard, Lawrence W. | |
dc.contributor.author | Cavanaugh, Kyle C. | |
dc.contributor.author | Reuman, Daniel C. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-02-20T17:56:49Z | |
dc.date.available | 2023-02-20T17:56:49Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2022-03-04 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Walter, J.A., Castorani, M.C.N., Bell, T.W., Sheppard, L.W., Cavanaugh, K.C. & Reuman, D.C. (2022) Tail-dependent spatial synchrony arises from nonlinear driver–response relationships. Ecology Letters, 25, 1189– 1201. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13991 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/1808/33860 | |
dc.description.abstract | Spatial synchrony may be tail-dependent, that is, stronger when populations are abundant than scarce, or vice-versa. Here, ‘tail-dependent’ follows from distributions having a lower tail consisting of relatively low values and an upper tail of relatively high values. We present a general theory of how the distribution and correlation structure of an environmental driver translates into tail-dependent spatial synchrony through a non-linear response, and examine empirical evidence for theoretical predictions in giant kelp along the California coastline. In sheltered areas, kelp declines synchronously (lower-tail dependence) when waves are relatively intense, because waves below a certain height do little damage to kelp. Conversely, in exposed areas, kelp is synchronised primarily by periods of calmness that cause shared recovery (upper-tail dependence). We find evidence for geographies of tail dependence in synchrony, which helps structure regional population resilience: areas where population declines are asynchronous may be more resilient to disturbance because remnant populations facilitate reestablishment. | en_US |
dc.publisher | Wiley | en_US |
dc.rights | © 2022 The Authors. Ecology Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. | en_US |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_US |
dc.subject | Copula | en_US |
dc.subject | Disturbance | en_US |
dc.subject | Giant kelp | en_US |
dc.subject | Macrocystis pyrifera | en_US |
dc.subject | Nutrients | en_US |
dc.subject | Stability | en_US |
dc.subject | Synchrony | en_US |
dc.subject | Waves | en_US |
dc.title | Tail-dependent spatial synchrony arises from nonlinear driver–response relationships | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
kusw.kuauthor | Sheppard, Lawrence W. | |
kusw.kuauthor | Reuman, Daniel C. | |
kusw.kudepartment | Ecology and Evolutionary Biology | en_US |
kusw.kudepartment | Kansas Biological Survey | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1111/ele.13991 | en_US |
dc.identifier.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2983-751X | en_US |
dc.identifier.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7372-9359 | en_US |
dc.identifier.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1407-8947 | en_US |
kusw.oaversion | Scholarly/refereed, publisher version | en_US |
kusw.oapolicy | This item meets KU Open Access policy criteria. | en_US |
dc.identifier.pmid | PMC9543197 | en_US |
dc.rights.accessrights | openAccess | en_US |
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Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as: © 2022 The Authors. Ecology Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.