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dc.contributor.authorZeedan, Rami
dc.date.accessioned2022-03-31T14:43:10Z
dc.date.available2022-03-31T14:43:10Z
dc.date.issued2018-02-15
dc.identifier.citationRami Zeedan (2018) Predicting the Vote in Kinship-Based Municipal Elections: The Case of Arab Cities in Israel, Journal of Muslim Minority Affairs, 38:1, 87-102, DOI: 10.1080/13602004.2018.1432149en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1808/32679
dc.descriptionThis is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Muslim Minority Affairs on 15 Feb 2018, available at: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/13602004.2018.1432149.en_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper examines the feasibility of using pre-election polls in kinship-based municipal elections in Israel, and the methods needed to increase the accuracy of predicting the results. The research focuses on the Arab society in Israel, which is an ethnic minority within a nation-state and a traditional society and that its municipal elections are characterized as kinship-based elections. The results of municipal elections in four Arab cities and towns show that pre-election polls succeeded in predicting the elections’ outcome with high accuracy. This research suggests the use of “Clan Sampling” in which the sampling is according to the sub-tribal societal structure—and further suggests applying the “Cross-Section” treatment for the undecided. Separately applying one of the two treatments gave a high level of accuracy; the accuracy further increased when applying the two methods together. By adjusting the methods used, pre-election polls were found to be accurate in predicting the vote in elections within a traditional Arab society.en_US
dc.publisherRoutledgeen_US
dc.subjectPollsen_US
dc.subjectElectionsen_US
dc.subjectUndecideden_US
dc.subjectMunicipalen_US
dc.subjectClanen_US
dc.subjectSamplingen_US
dc.subjectIsraelen_US
dc.titlePredicting the Vote in Kinship-Based Municipal Elections: The Case of Arab Cities in Israelen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
kusw.kuauthorZeedan, Rami
kusw.kudepartmentJewish Studiesen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/13602004.2018.1432149en_US
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/ 0000-0002-1098-1856en_US
kusw.oaversionScholarly/refereed, author accepted manuscripten_US
kusw.oapolicyThis item meets KU Open Access policy criteria.en_US
dc.rights.accessrightsopenAccessen_US


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