dc.contributor.author | Raghavan, Ram K. | |
dc.contributor.author | Koestel, Z. | |
dc.contributor.author | Ierardi, R. | |
dc.contributor.author | Peterson, A. Townsend | |
dc.contributor.author | Cobos, Marlon E. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-12-06T22:20:21Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-12-06T22:20:21Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2021-07-28 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Raghavan, R.K., Koestel, Z., Ierardi, R. et al. Climatic suitability of the eastern paralysis tick, Ixodes holocyclus, and its likely geographic distribution in the year 2050. Sci Rep 11, 15330 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-94793-2 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/1808/32263 | |
dc.description.abstract | The eastern paralysis tick, Ixodes holocyclus is one of two ticks that cause potentially fatal tick paralysis in Australia, and yet information on the full extent of its present or potential future spatial distribution is not known. Occurrence data for this tick species collected over the past two decades, and gridded environmental variables at 1 km2 resolution representing climate conditions, were used to derive correlative ecological niche models to predict the current and future potential distribution. Several hundreds of candidate models were constructed with varying combinations of model parameters, and the best-fitting model was chosen based on statistical significance, omission rate, and Akaike Information Criterion (AICc). The best-fitting model matches the currently known distribution but also extends through most of the coastal areas in the south, and up to the Kimbolton peninsula in Western Australia in the north. Highly suitable areas are present around south of Perth, extending towards Albany, Western Australia. Most areas in Tasmania, where the species is not currently present, are also highly suitable. Future spatial distribution of this tick in the year 2050 indicates moderate increase in climatic suitability from the present-day prediction but noticeably also moderate to low loss of climatically suitable areas elsewhere. | en_US |
dc.publisher | Nature Research | en_US |
dc.rights | © The Author(s) 2021. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. | en_US |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_US |
dc.subject | Computational biology and bioinformatics | en_US |
dc.subject | Zoology | en_US |
dc.subject | Ecology | en_US |
dc.subject | Environmental sciences | en_US |
dc.title | Climatic suitability of the eastern paralysis tick, Ixodes holocyclus, and its likely geographic distribution in the year 2050 | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
kusw.kuauthor | Peterson, A. Townsend | |
kusw.kuauthor | Cobos, Marlon E. | |
kusw.kudepartment | Ecology and Evolutionary Biology | en_US |
kusw.kudepartment | Biodiversity Institute | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41598-021-94793-2 | en_US |
kusw.oaversion | Scholarly/refereed, publisher version | en_US |
kusw.oapolicy | This item meets KU Open Access policy criteria. | en_US |
dc.identifier.pmid | PMC8319185 | en_US |
dc.rights.accessrights | openAccess | en_US |