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Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling
Peterson, A. Townsend
Peterson, A. Townsend
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Abstract
Species’ invasions have long been regarded as enormously complex processes, so complex as to defy
predictivity. Phases of this process, however, are emerging as highly predictable: the potential geographic
course of an invasion can be anticipated with high precision based on the ecological niche characteristics
of a species in its native geographic distributional area. This predictivity depends on the premise that
ecological niches constitute long-term stable constraints on the potential geographic distributions of
species, for which a sizeable body of evidence is accumulating. Hence, although the entire invasion
process is indeed complex, the geographic course that invasions are able to take can be anticipated with considerable confidence.
Description
Date
2003-12
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Publisher
University of Chicago Press
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Keywords
Invasive species, Ecological niche modeling, Geographic information systems, Predictive modeling, Niche evolution
Citation
Peterson, A. T. 2003b. Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling. Quarterly Review of Biology 78:419-433. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/378926