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Abstract
The literature suggests that terrorist activities have a significant effect on the voting attitudes of people. The growing body of studies suggested that terrorism has a positive effect on incumbent parties or hard-liners. However, the analyses were mostly limited to the district level. This research paper empirically analyzes the effect of terrorist activities on the voting behavior of Turkish citizens in the 2023 general election. A unique dataset is created that focuses on the funeral ceremonies of security officers at the sub-ward level (ilçe, belde, köy, mahalle) one year prior to the 2023 general election. The dataset provides a unique chance to analyze whether or not the deaths of members of security forces cause volatility over general elections at a sub-ward level. I hypothesized that a higher number of deaths increases volatility in the sub-ward level. The research paper aims to provide critical insights by focusing on deaths and their effect on volatility in Turkiye.
This paper empirically analyzes how terrorism affects voting behavior in Turkiye on a sub-ward level. A unique dataset is created based on the burial grounds of security forces who were killed six months prior to the 2023 general election.
Description
These are the slides from a presentation given at MPSA on 04/11/2025.
Date
2025-04-11
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Publisher
University of Kansas
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Keywords
terrorism, voting behavior, Turkiye