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Ecology and Geography of Human Monkeypox Case Occurences Across Africa
Ellis, Christine K. Carroll, Darin S. Lash, R. Ryan Peterson, A. Townsend Damon, Inger K. Malekani, Jean M. Formenty, Pierre
Ellis, Christine K.
Carroll, Darin S.
Lash, R. Ryan
Peterson, A. Townsend
Damon, Inger K.
Malekani, Jean M.
Formenty, Pierre
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Abstract
As ecologic niche modeling (ENM) evolves as a tool in spatial epidemiology and public health, selection of the most appropriate and informative environmental data sets becomes increasingly important. Here, we build on a previous ENM analysis of the potential distribution of human monkeypox in Africa by refining georeferencing criteria and using more-diverse environmental data to identify environmental parameters contributing to monkeypox distributional ecology. Significant environmental variables include annual precipitation, several temperature-related variables, primary productivity, evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and pH. The potential distribution identified with this set of variables was broader than that identified in previous analyses but does not include areas recently found to hold monkeypox in southern Sudan. Our results emphasize the importance of selecting the most appropriate and informative environmental data sets for ENM analyses in pathogen transmission mapping.
Description
This is the published version. The original is available from http://www.jwildlifedis.org/content/48/2/335.full.pdf+html
Date
2012-04
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Publisher
Wildlife Disease Association
Research Projects
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Keywords
Ecological niche modeling, Epidemiology, Georeferencing, Monkeypox, Point-radius method
Citation
Ellis CK, Carroll DS, Lash RR, Peterson AT, Damon IK, Melekani J, Formenty P. 2012. Ecology and Geography of Human Monkeypox Case Occurrences Across Africa. Journal of Wildlife Diseases, 48(2):335–347.